Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.092094 0.102801 0.113879 0.126168 0.139391 0.153163 0.168563
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.072526 0.088022 0.104995 0.124836 0.147262 0.171698 0.200207
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.059700 0.078323 0.099805 0.126094 0.157072 0.192094 0.234352
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.049303 0.069693 0.094385 0.125884 0.164380 0.209296 0.265032
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.044457 0.066958 0.095333 0.132766 0.179850 0.236132 0.307466
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.040662 0.064916 0.096643 0.139753 0.195335 0.263150 0.350628
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.035245 0.059898 0.093415 0.140362 0.202419 0.279684 0.381079
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.029553 0.053707 0.087911 0.137337 0.204327 0.289421 0.402976
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.027240 0.052171 0.088595 0.142477 0.216868 0.312747 0.442242
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.024759 0.050036 0.088153 0.145859 0.226976 0.332998 0.477843
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.022270 0.047562 0.086937 0.147932 0.235191 0.350792 0.510459
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.019900 0.044971 0.085279 0.149151 0.242099 0.366846 0.540953
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.019583 0.046078 0.089649 0.159784 0.263045 0.402857 0.599362
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.017058 0.042910 0.087022 0.159834 0.269032 0.418929 0.631914
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.015242 0.040810 0.085942 0.162136 0.278282 0.439645 0.671094
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.013277 0.038111 0.083598 0.162268 0.284265 0.455894 0.704482
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012814 0.038434 0.086449 0.170722 0.302770 0.489934 0.762596
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.012384 0.038755 0.089278 0.179191 0.321447 0.524487 0.821866
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010966 0.036649 0.087524 0.179967 0.328337 0.542279 0.858084
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.009190 0.033376 0.083312 0.176365 0.328294 0.550033 0.880369
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008706 0.033166 0.084857 0.182532 0.343506 0.579988 0.934037
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.008038 0.032372 0.085191 0.186582 0.355443 0.605330 0.981505
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007279 0.031197 0.084663 0.189062 0.364899 0.627138 1.024209